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Risk Arbitrage Related Scholarly Compositions

See also: Risk Arbitrage Related News, Risk Arbitrage Related Books, or Risk Arbitrage Home Page.
 
Table of Contents:
 

Arbitrage Spreads and the Market Pricing of Proposed Acquisitions
by Jan Jindra & Ralph A. Walkling
Ohio State University
June, 1999


Abstract
This paper examines arbitrage spreads and returns following acquisition announcements in 362 cash tender offers spanning the 1981-1995 period. We document considerable abnormal returns to risk arbitrage using various investment strategies, holding periods, and benchmarks. Arbitrage spreads in acquisitions, defined as the percentage difference between the bid price and market price one day after the initial announcement, exhibit a positive mean, with considerable cross-sectional variation...

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Determinants and Implications of Arbitrage Holdings in Acquisitions
by Jim Hsieh & Ralph A. Walkling
Ohio State University
June, 1999


Abstract
This study investigates arbitrage activities and their impact on acquisitions. The literature contains arguments for both passive and active roles of arbitrageurs during the takeover process. Larcker and Lys (1987) suggest that arbitrageurs are passive, having superior ability to predict offer success...

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Limited Arbitrage in Mergers & Acquisitions
by Malcolm Baker & Serkan Savasoglu
Graduate School of Business Administration, Hardvard University
April, 2000


Abstract
A diversified portfolio of risk arbitrage positions produces an abnormal return of 0.6 –0.9% per month over the period from 1981 to 1996.We trace these pro fits to practical limits on risk arbitrage. In our model of risk arbitrage, arbitrageurs' risk-bearing capacity is constrained by deal completion risk and the size of the position they hold...

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Merger Arbitrage: Profits, Holdings, and Impact on The Takeover Process
by Jim Hsieh
September, 2001


Abstract
This research examines the role arbitrageurs play in the takeover market and the relationship between arbitrage holdings and realized returns to merger-arbitrage portfolios. The sample consists of 680 offers spanning the 1992-1999 period and includes 152 collar offers. We find that arbitrage holdings of target shares are positively correlated with both the probability of success and bid premia...

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A Microstructure Examination of the Effect of Risk Arbitrage on the Trading in Acquiring Company Shares in Stock Mergers
by Dr. Keith M. Moore, Dr. Gene C. Lai, & Dr. Zhiyi Song
St. John's University, Washington State University, & Van Advisors


Abstract
This paper examines the changes that occur in the trading in the acquiring company’s shares in stock mergers once the transactions are announced. Using a two-year sample that includes 13 million quotes and 15 million trades the impact of short-selling by risk arbitrageurs on the microstructure of the market in acquiring company shares is evaluated. The results show that the process of risk arbitrage and the related short-selling improves the efficiency of the market in the bidder’s shares...

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Multi-Market Trading and Arbitrage
by Louis Gagnon & G. Andrew Karolyi
Queen's University & Ohio State University
July, 2004


Abstract
This study investigates the differences in the prices of shares of stocks that trade simultaneously in different markets around the world. Specifically, we compare the synchronous, intraday prices of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) and other types of cross-listed shares in U.S. markets relative to their home-market shares on a currency-adjusted basis and examine the magnitude of the deviations from parity, their persistence and their systematic comovements with market indexes and currencies. We provide evidence of the existence of such price deviations for many of the almost 600 pairs of cross-listed shares from the 39 countries we study over the period between 1993 and 2002...

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Option Pricing with Liquidity Risk
by U. Cetin, R. Jarrow, P. Protter, & M. Warachka
June 8, 2002


Abstract
This paper provides a model for pricing options in an economy with liquidity risk. Liquidity risk is modeled as a stochastic supply curve for the underlying stock that depends on the size of a trade. Consistent with the market microstructure literature, large buys increase the purchase price while large sales decrease the selling price...

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Risk Arbitrage Performance for Stock Swap Offers with Collars
by Ben Branch & Jia Wang
University of Massachusetts at Amherst


Abstract
Herein we investigate the risk return characteristics of risk arbitrage for a sample
of 187 stock swap offers in the form of collars for the 1994-2003 period. Using cross sectional analysis, we find that arbitrage spreads, defined as the percentage difference between the offer price and the target market price after the merger announcement, are significantly positively correlated with the acquirer’s stock volatility and the deal duration. We also find that arbitrage spreads are significantly lower for successful deals than for failed deals; lower for challenged deals than for unchallenged deals. Using time series analysis, we identify a significant non-linear relationship in the risk return profile for risk arbitrage portfolios: Both strategy I (long the target for the fixed value collar offers; long the target and short the acquirer for the fixed ratio collar offers) and strategy II (delta hedging) produce returns that are strongly positively correlated with the market return in a severely declining market and are not significantly correlated with the market return in a flat or rising market. Given the nonlinear payoff pattern, linear asset pricing models tend to mis-estimate the magnitude of excess returns. For strategy I, our samples produced an estimated annual excess return of 6.3% when we used contingent claims analysis as our base model. This estimated excess return level is less than the 11.88% return when CAPM, or the 10.27% return when Fama-French three factor models are assumed to be the base model. For strategy II, assuming contingent claims analysis as our base model produced an annual excess return of 22.7%. Using CAPM and Fama-French
models produced annual excess returns of 9.25% and 8.6% respectively for our
sample of collar mergers.

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Risk Arbitrage Profits and the Probability of Takeover Success
by Ben Branch, Huong Ngo Higgins, & Kathryn Wilkens
University of Massachusetts at Amherst & Worcester Polytechnic Institute
January, 2003


Abstract
Prior literature shows that relative firm size, low firm leverage, and relatively low growth can increase a firm's chance of becoming a takeover target and increase the probability of merger success. We show that adding information about analyst coverage significantly improves models of merger success based on financial variables that proxy for firm size, leverage, and growth. The probability of merger success is inversely related to analyst coverage at the time of the announcement...

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Risk Arbitrage in U.S. Financial Markets
by Supreena Narayanan
Stockholm School of Economics
2004


Abstract
This paper analyses risk arbitrage in U.S. financial markets. The study by Mitchell, Mark and Todd Pulvino (2001) has been extended to study the U.S. financial markets scenario from 1963 to 2004. In particular, two research questions are pursued. What are the effects of stock market, business conditions as well as the Merger and Acquisition Trend on risk arbitrage activities in the U.S...

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The Statistical Properties of Hedge Fund Index Returns and their Implications for Investors
by Chris Brooks & Harry M. Kat
ISMA Centre
November 10, 2001


Abstract
The monthly return distributions of many hedge fund indices exhibit highly unusual skewness and kurtosis properties as well as first-order serial correlation. This has important consequences for investors. We demonstrate that although hedge fund indices are highly attractive in mean-variance terms, this is much less the case when skewness, kurtosis, and autocorrelation are taken into account. Sharpe Ratios will substantially overestimate the true risk-return performance of (portfolios containing) hedge funds. Similarly, mean-variance portfolio analysis will over-allocate to hedge funds and overestimate the attainable benefits from including hedge funds in an investment portfolio. We also find substantial differences between indices that aim to cover the same type of strategy. Investors' perceptions of hedge fund performance and value added will therefore strongly depend on the indices used.

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Takeovers, Freezouts, and Risk Arbitrage
by Armando Gomes
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
October, 2001


Abstract
This paper develops a dynamic model of tender offers in which there is trading on the target's shares during the takeover, and the bidders can freeze out target shareholders (compulsorily acquire remaining shares not tendered at the bid price), features that prevail on almost all takeovers. We show that trading allows for the entry of arbitrageurs with large blocks of shares who can hold out a freezeout-a threat that forces the bidder to offer a high preemptive bid. There is also a positive relationship between the takeover premium and arbitrageurs' accumulation of shares before the takeover announcement, and the less liquid the target stock, the strong this relationship is...

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Back to Scholarly Compositions

See also: Risk Arbitrage Related News, Risk Arbitrage Related Books, or Risk Arbitrage Home Page.

News Books Scholarly Definitions

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