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Technical Analysis Related News
 in chronological order

 See also: Technical Analysis Related Books, Technical Analysis Related Scholarly Papers, or Technical Analysis Home Page.

Table of Contents:
 

Government Meddling Throws Off Technical Analysis
September 22, 2006
From Seeking Alpha:
 Back in May I wrote : Weak Financial Stocks May Not Hold Support Again which turned out to be right on the money.

A bit later in June I wrote that banks where broken:

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Technical Analysis: Momentum Turns Back Down
September 22, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 Despite some potential bottoming signs last week, we find ourselves right back in the middle of heavy selling pressure. About the only good news is that volume declined today and we didn't get another 90% downside day.

We should also note that Lowry Research — which pioneered the study of stock market bottoms — has crunched the numbers and is calling last Thursday a 90% upside day, meaning the market gave a bottom signal that day.

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Weekly Technical Analysis: Bear phase to continue
June 29, 2006
From Business Standard:
 The onslaught by the bears continued for yet another week as the benchmark BSE index, the Sensex, ended in the red for the sixth successive week. The index shed 5.3 per cent (769 points) to 13,802 last week. The index has now shed a whopping 21 per cent (3,633 points) in last six weeks.

The sentiment remained bearish owing to RBI's rate hike move, political uncertainties, record inflation and crude oil, which hit $142 per barrel on Friday. The technicals, too, point to a further decline as the indices were not able to clear their short-term averages during the bounce back.

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Value in Technical Analysis Depends on Timeframe
June 26, 2006
From Seeking Alpha:
 The issue of whether to rely primarily on fundamental or technical analysis is one that each investor has to struggle with, usually a number of times over the course of his or her investing lifetime.

While the relative merits of the two approaches will appeal to different types of investors, I find it hard to believe that the high court of investment strategy will ever rule in favor of one approach at the expense of the other.

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Avoid the Mistake That Cost Buffett 8 Years of Better Returns
June 16, 2006
From The Motley Fool:
 There's one investment strategy you won't read much about on Fool.com, even though many have tried it. In fact, Warren Buffett spent eight years working with it before discarding it as worthless.

What investment strategy is that? Technical analysis.

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Some quant managers see market turning favorable
June 16, 2006
From InvestmentNews:
 Quantitative market analysts are signaling a bullish stretch for equity markets, but some warn that the ride over the next several months could get bumpy.

"Market rallies don't always feel like rallies when you're in them," said Craig Callahan, president of Icon Advisers Inc. in Greenwood Village, Colo.

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Technical Analysis: Bulls Back in Charge
March 24, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 For the first time in a long time, stock market bulls have seized control here, but they face a number of major tests just ahead.

Perhaps the most important is 12,743 on the Dow (first chart below). The Transports (second chart) cleared their February high today, so a Dow close above the same level is all that's needed to reverse November's Dow Theory sell signal. 12,300-12,400 should be strong support on the Dow.

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Chartology: Understanding Technical Analysis
March 21, 2006
From CNBC:
 Market technicians typically evaluate patterns in the stock market. What are the pro’s seeing in the charts?

Oppenheimer Chief Market Technician Carter Worth joins the panel for this conversation. He believes that after a great run most stocks act in a certain way when they’re topping-off. The same is true after a sell-off. In other words they all bottom the same way, adds Worth.

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Technical Analysis of Choppy Markets
March 12, 2006
From Minyanville:
 Everyone is a technician these days and the charts below have been discussed quite frequently. However, technical analysis does provide a helpful road map that can offer context and clarity, both of which are critical in a choppy, sloppy and emotion-filled tape, so let’s take a step back and review some basics.

A look at the S&P 500 Index (SPX) suggests extreme caution is warranted here. I’ve outlined the two-headed monster (a double head and shoulders pattern). Also evident is a base on top of a base and the stochastic divergence back at the peaks. If we take the distance between the top (~1,570) and the neckline (~1,370), the chart implies a break could take us back toward the 1,170 level. That’s not to say that’s where the market gets to or stops at - it’s simply an area of initial support implied by the charts.

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Technical Analysis: Fed Gets It Right
March 11, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 The stock market remains the best leading economic indicator, and today's action suggests that the Federal Reserve may finally have solved the credit crunch.

Today's 90% upside volume day, following right on the heels of yesterday's 90% downside day and low-volume retest of the January lows, suggests that we may finally have a bottom of some import here. Time will tell if the major indexes can take out the major resistance that lies ahead, but the preliminary verdict is a positive one.

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Technical Analysis: Can Stocks Pass the Retest?
March 6, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 Stocks are approaching their January lows here; can they hold on this retest? Sentiment is in the bulls' favor, as we've stated ad nauseum, but so far that's done little to create higher prices.

Today's spike in the CBOE equity put-call ratio (first chart below) was the biggest in 3 1/2 years, the latest evidence that investors are plenty scared.

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The Art of Technical Analysis
March 5, 2006
From Minyanville:
 There is a fine line between absolute predictions and anticipation. It is this fine line, when crossed, that I believe gives technical analysis a bad rap. Technical analysis is an art form, not a science, and regardless of what anyone says, it will never give you a finite look into the future, merely a glimpse so that you can allocate accordingly in anticipation of what you may think is coming.

Allocating in anticipation is truly the "art" in "chart" but moving into finite predictions can become very dangerous.

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Waving or drowning? If Elliot was right, sinking markets are doing both
February 11, 2006
From The Scotsman:
 FIRST, a health warning: For those of a nervous disposition, look away now. As stock markets have tumbled in recent weeks, brokers and fund managers will have been asked: how far will the slide go?

Many think we are now close to a bottom, with the yield on the FTSE All-Share Index now at 3.4 per cent (a yield above 3.2 per cent having historically been a "buy" signal). But recession fears are adding to the market's sense of unease. The market may be heading sharply lower. Some predict a truly catastrophic fall.

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Technical Analysis: Downside Momentum Wanes
February 8, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 By almost any measure, the stock market has lost its downside momentum here. For starters, new lows on the NYSE remain below 100; at their bottom three weeks ago, there were more than 1,000. The S&P 500 is only 1.6% above last month's closing low of 1310, yet the number of stocks making new 52-week lows has fallen by more than 90% during that time. The advance-decline line (first chart below) also is holding well above its lows here.

Sentiment also largely favors the bulls, particularly when you look at where money is being put to work. Commercial futures traders are getting long the big S&P contract while small investors are cautious if not short. And the 20-day average of the ISEE options index fell to 97 earlier this week, its lowest level since October 2002, when it hit 95.

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Chart reading becoming financial fixture
January 28, 2006
From Bradenton.com:
 I remember poking around the stocks and financial advice section of a bookstore a while back and picking up a hefty tome on "technical analysis."

Inside were pages and pages of squiggly-lined patterns matched up with esoteric descriptions like "Doji," "hanging man," "spinning top," and "cup with handle."

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New alliance ‘will ruffle feathers’
January 27, 2006
From Daily Dispatch Online:
 SOUTH African financial derivatives specialist Global Trader and global wealth manager Merrill Lynch announced yesterday that they were entering into a strategic alliance to roll out a sophisticated screening, charting and technical analysis platform.

Deputy chief executive of Global Trader in SA, Charles Savage, said the deal ushered in a change of strategy for the company, as they intended to expand into broader areas which included taking on local brokers in their own space.

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London's top technical analyst reveals his finance secrets
January 21, 2006
From AME Info:
 Brian Marber is arguably the world's leading technical analyst, and certainly one of the oldest practitioners of this art. His newly published book, 'Marber on Markets' recalls how he once came to the UAE to lecture the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority on his secrets. In a career that began in 1963 he can also boast first-hand knowledge of bull and bear markets.

The result is a fascinating combination of the personal memoirs of a man who worked for the Rothchilds and was voted number one technical analyst in the City for six successive years in 1976-81, a unique record. However, his quirky and original style did not always fit City culture and he was sacked from Rothchilds.

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Technical Analysis: It's A Bear's Market
January 17, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 The S&P 500 (first chart below) says it all today, as the index broke down out of a 15-month trading range. That's bad news for the bulls — and opens up the possibility of a move as low as 1170, the 200-point range break projected to the downside.

First, though, the index has to get through what should be very strong support at 1327 and 1280-1290. To the upside, the mission for the bulls is simple: get back above 1370 and back into that trading range.

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The Winning Sectors for 2008
December 26, 2006
From Barron's Online:
 FROM A TECHNICAL ANALYSIS POINT of view, the bright lights for 2007 were clearly China, commodities, and heavy industry, with the latter two also stemming from overall Chinese strength.

Any portfolio heavily invested in these areas could have achieved more than 10 times the gain seen in the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500, which is up just under 6% for the year with only a few days to go.

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Chartology: Understanding Technical Analysis
December 24, 2006
From CNBC:
 Market technicians typically evaluate patterns in the stock market. What are the pro’s seeing in the charts?

Oppenheimer Chief Market Technician Carter Worth joins the panel for this conversation. He believes that after a great run most stocks act in a certain way when they’re topping-off. The same is true after a sell-off. In other words they all bottom the same way, adds Worth.

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Dissecting the Double Bottom
December 12, 2006
From Minyanville:
 Technical Analysis is often misunderstood and commonly viewed as a feeble attempt to game the market by studying pictures. For those that don't understand the art, it can be easily passed off as something that simply becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy due to those who follow its principals. Individuals should know that technical analysis is simply a graphic form of human emotion. As we stroll through the streets of TA-ville, there is a powerful pattern all should understand that may actually be emerging at this very moment within the S&P 500. Unfortunately we won't know until it is complete and in the rear view mirror, however understanding its potential may help an investor remain open minded and flexible. It is the basic, yet powerful double bottom.

The image below shows the S&P 500 for the past six months, each letter on the chart marks an entry or exit point by various groups of investors as I have laid out below.

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Technical analysis could foresee property falls
December 5, 2006
From Telegraph.co.uk:
 Let's make the assumption that you are not like most investors, that you do not simply rely on what Bill at the golf club passed on to you from Bob who knows someone who's something in the City. Let's assume instead that you approach investment with a modicum of rationality. How do you decide what to buy?

I'd be prepared to bet that you rely on what you take to be the "fundamentals". You make a judgment about a company's prospects, in the light of the wider economic background, assess its management's competence and honesty and then decide whether its prospects are sensibly reflected in its share price.

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Technical Analysis: S&P Runs Into Resistance
November 14, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 The S&P 500 (first chart below) found support seven times in the 1490-1500 zone before breaking down a week ago, so it's not surprising that that level stopped the rally today, as the "get me out, I'm back to even" impulse is strong at such levels. A sharp pullback is common after 90% upside days like we had yesterday, but the benefit of the doubt goes to the bulls for now. Resistance starts at 1492.53 and runs to 1500 (with the 200-day average at 1484 up first), and 1458-1461 is ideal support, the top of yesterday's initial move up. 1466 was today's low.

The Nasdaq (second chart) has been on one wild ride. 2613, yesterday's gap open, is important support, and 2700-2720 is resistance.

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Are Energy Stocks Out of Energy?
November 12, 2006
From Barron's Online:
 THE AMAZING RUN IN THE ENERGY SECTOR has hit a ceiling. While the much-ballyhooed $100 per barrel price for oil is very near, it looks as if it is going to have to wait just a while as the market shakes out some of its excesses.

In the stock market, crude oil's two and a half dollar drop this morning has caused many technical warnings to come to fruition. For example, the widely followed -- and traded -- the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF has broken down from its recent trading range (see Chart 1).

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Free technical analysis workshops
November 7, 2006
From The Star Online:
 The Star Online and charting software developer ChartNexus Sdn Bhd (CNXSB) have lined up more financial seminars this month for readers.

The free seminars will be on Building Trading Strategies with Technical Analysis, and will cover a wire range of technical analysis topics, including Japanese candlesticks, technical indicators, and Fibonacci retracements.

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The "Child's Guide to Technical Analysis" Looks at Silver...
November 5, 2006
From The Market Oracle:
 If you have ever wanted your child to study Technical Analysis so that they can become a millionaire like you, instead of maybe ending up living off you for half their lives and bringing their washing home etc, but have not summoned up the courage to attempt to introduce the subject to them, because of fears of their eyes glazing over when confronted with lots of squiggly lines and a barrage of esoteric indicators, now is your chance because even a 7-year old can grasp what we are going to look at in this article today.

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Conditional Formatting and its Application to Technical Analysis
October 24, 2006
From The Market Oracle:
 Carl Swenlin stated “Technical analysis is a wind sock, not a crystal ball”. This is probably one of the most eloquent and precise definitions I have ever seen because it goes deeper than the sentence itself. Provided the wind is blowing from the north, the windsock will indicate that until the wind changes direction. When the wind direction changes, individuals can note this and be confident that the wind hitting their house is coming from a direction specified by the windsock.

The further one moves from their house, the variability of the wind pattern changes, but can be tracked using satellites to provide a somewhat accurate idea about the bigger picture for determining where the cloud system/ wind system is traveling. Think of the individual home with the windsock as a lower Degree in the placement of the weather system and the satellite images being many Degrees higher in the big picture. Weather forecasters can zoom to different Degrees of resolution to get a closer picture of the weather system at any location or simply pull out again. Relating this to stochastics, having short-term to longer-term settings provide a similar view to lower Degree and larger Degree “views” of the market. Keep the definition about “Degree” in mind because it will be tied together with other presented concepts at the end of the article.

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Analytical Toolbox: Technical Tools Checklist—Foundational Tools
October 18, 2006
From Inside Futures:
 Once chart templates are set up for technical analysis, it’s pretty common for a trader to access a limited number of markets and tools as the analysis becomes mechanical. There are definitely some positive aspects to a mechanical approach, but some negative ones too. First and foremost—market conditions change, so if the method of analysis isn’t periodically reviewed (and possibly updated) there’s a chance pending changes could be missed.

By creating a basic inventory of technical indicators and techniques loosely categorized, you have a readily available resource to confirm that markets are progressing similarly to the recent past or to identify potential changes if things get fuzzy for you. It may also provide you with an organized approach for learning about tools on your “better understand” list.

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Adventures in Technical Analysis, Citigroup Edition
October 17, 2006
From Portfolio.com:
 David Gaffen notes today that Citigroup shares are now trading at a 2-year low of $43.97 per share. He then quotes this wonderful piece of advice from technical analyst Joseph Hargett:

The $45 level “has not been breached on a weekly closing basis since October 2005, and could be seen as a buy/sell indicator for anyone considering investing in C,” notes Joseph Hargett, analyst at Schaeffer’s Investment Research.

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Moving Average: Technical Analysis Every Investor Should Know
October 12, 2006
From The Daily Reckoning:
 “What will a company’s share price do?”

“Why will it do it?”

“When will it happen?”

If you can answer the three questions above, then you know all you need to know about a stock. They should be the central themes of any investment analysis.

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Trade What You See
September 19, 2006
From Barron's Online:
 THERE IS A BATTLE THAT EVERY chart watcher fights when what is actually happening is not what should be happening. For many, the stock market should not be rallying, but the raw reality is that the bulls have taken back the controls.

In technical analysis circles, there is a mantra, "Trade what you see, not what you think." What we see in the stock market is an upside breakout. Most market and sector indexes have erupted from the summer's turmoil with a broad-based surge in demand.

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Crude Oil and Value of Technical Analysis
September 16, 2006
From The Market Oracle:
 Before we get to our weekly briefing on the major market indices, we thought it appropriate to explore the following:

What value might traders and investors place on technical market analysis?

The answer depends upon a few basic variables.

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Are technicals enough to understand this market?
August 17, 2006
From Moneycontrol:
 From yesterday there have been clear signs of some serious withdrawal of liquidity from most emerging markets in Asia, including India. One can never predict liquidity, so it’s absolutely impossible to say, the markets didn’t do badly yesterday, but that’s also no guarantee of a further fall if more money chooses to go out of system.

Gautam Shah of JM Financial Services says, "It has been very difficult and that’s the reason we do not have a short or medium term target at this point. I think, the huge gap opening in the recent past is something you really cannot trade. If you’re long you might just get stopped out and even if you are short, you can get stopped out during a pull back rally. So we’ve devised a strategy where it's better to stay on the sidelines and take the market from an intra-day perspective."

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Acampora, Pioneer of Technical Analysis, to Retire (Update3)
August 15, 2006
From Bloomberg:
 Ralph Acampora, the 40-year Wall Street veteran who helped pioneer the use of past price movements to make stock market predictions, is hanging up his charts.

The 65-year-old strategist will retire from Knight Capital Group Inc. in October. He made bullish forecasts during the rally of the 1990s and was the third-ranked technical analyst in Institutional Investor magazine's 2006 survey. Marc L. Sutin, 58, will replace Acampora as Knight's head of technical research, according to a statement sent by PRNewswire.

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Whatever Happened To Mechanical Trading?
July 24, 2006
From The Motley Fool:
 Even a cursory glance by beginners at books, articles, websites and so on about the market reveals that there are a wide variety of trading styles based on all sorts of criteria. For the avoidance of confusion, by trading I mean buying shares with a view to selling them later in order to derive a capital gain. I am not referring to buy and hold or income investing styles like my High Yield Portfolio.

I suppose that where traders use any kind of systematic approach at all, the two main camps of thought used to locate and time the trading of shares are fundamental and technical. Fundamental traders use various data about the company itself derived from its profits, assets, dividends, cash flow, debt and so on in order to compare shares.

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Take your pick of selection tactics
July 23, 2006
From The Gazette:
 The battle lines are deepening over the validity of the efficient market hypothesis, the belief that at any given time, stock market prices fully reflect all available information.

In other words, that the price is right.

Put forth by Eugene Fama in 1970, the efficient market hypothesis assumes that no individual investor has an advantage in predicting movement of a stock price, since all information is available to all investors.

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Think outside the Black Box

July 2, 2006
From Easier Finance:
 The rise in popularity of quantitative investment strategies, structured products and sophisticated risk management tools, often coined "black box" investing, is creating ever more opportunities for traditional fundamental investors according to Makis Kaketsis, manager of the top-quartile F&C UK Dynamic Fund.

While investment strategies based on technical analysis of stock and market price movements are nothing new, Kaketsis believes that the extent to which such techniques can influence markets on a particular day has increased dramatically in recent years.

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Technical Analysis: Clinging to Support

June 26, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 The strangest development today was a big spike in the "fear index," the options volatility index (first chart below), on a flat day for stocks. That's a hopeful sign for the bulls, who otherwise remain down and out here, clinging to this month's lows. But even the NYSE advance-decline line (second chart) is starting to go against them, barely holding above its lows. Perhaps one final washout lower can give the bulls the capitulation they need to turn this thing around. Certainly the failure of the indexes to turn up from support suggests the possibility of more down.

The Nasdaq (third chart) continues to struggle with its 50-day average at 2568. Below that, 2550 and 2535 come into play, and 2583 is first resistance. The S&P (fourth chart) is clinging to 1487-1492 support. If that goes, 1477 comes into view. To the upside, 1495, 1500 and 1507 are resistance. The Dow (fifth chart) has important support at 13,251-13,300, and first resistance is 13,400. The 10-year yield (sixth chart) is running out of downside momentum.

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Fundamentals or technicals?
June 24, 2006
From The Hindu Business Line:
 Fundamental and technical analysis are tools available to market participants to understand price movements. Of course, there is always a debate on what drives the market — fundamentals or technicals.

In fact, there are a host of factors such as demand-supply, production-consumption, exports-imports, inventory, weather, government policies, taxes, exchange rate, freight and so on, as well as changes therein. Besides, there are external impacts such as of inflation, interest rates, economic growth and geopolitics.

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Getting Started: Fundamental Analysis

June 13, 2006
From TheStreet.com:
 When it comes time to make investment decisions, it's a good idea to be guided by more than just your gut instincts. If used effectively, fundamental analysis is one of the most useful ways to determine whether a company is a good investment choice. Even if you don't have a finance background, don't let that stop you from becoming your own personal stock portfolio analyst.

Two Schools

When it comes to stock analysis, there are two main schools: Fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis is all about using concrete information about a company's business to try to find the real value of a stock, while technical analysis eschews all of that in favor of looking at the way pure market factors will affect a stock's movement ("Chart of the Day").

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Key to good stock picking is research and analysis

June 3, 2006
From Canada.com:
 Every stock-market trade consists of one person selling shares in a company to another person, with each of them thinking he or she is making a wise move.

Picking individual stocks in which to invest can be done in a variety of ways, from listening to a cab driver's hot tip to performing technical analysis on hundreds of companies. There's no one correct way to invest in equities, but there are some basic principles a person should consider.

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Trader's Corner

June 2, 2006
From The Hindu Business Line:
 There are many who desire to enter the world of technical analysis and are wondering where they should begin. The first step is to accept that the market is supreme. It is futile to outsmart or outguess it. We just have to flow with the market and try to amass a fortune in the process. The novice technical analyst should have a two-point program.

Identify the trend.

Ride the trend till it reverses.

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The Basics of Technical Analysis

May 7, 2006
From TheStreet.com:
 No matter what your approach is to the market, you've undoubtedly taken a look at the chart of a stock or an index. But the information you take away from that chart does depend heavily on your approach. While many people see simply a line representing price history, technical analysts see much, much more.

Technical analysts study past price movement for the purpose of understanding what future prices may look like. They review charts of a particular company or index's price action and examine the changes in price over a particular period of time.

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Technical Analysis: the Elliot Wave

May 7, 2006
From The Ticker:
 The Elliot Wave was developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the late 1920s. Elliot believed that there were cycles of emotions that traders experience on a countless basis. These cycles repeated on so many occasions that it was believed that this was "a predominate psychology of the masses."

Elliott stated that the upward and downward swings of this mass psychology always showed up in the same repetitive patterns, which were then divided into patterns he termed as waves.

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Research and Markets: The Online Traders Guide to Technical Analysis is the Best Resource for the Everyday Trader

May 4, 2006
From BusinessWire:
 Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c56063) has announced the addition of “Chart Your Way To Profits: The Online Traders Guide to Technical Analysis” to their offering.

"As a former pit trader and a technical newbie, I have found Tim's new book to be the best resource I've seen for the everyday trader. With its fun and informative style, it has allowed me to understand and appreciate the professional world of technical analysis."

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Technical analysis a value tool to be used in conjunction with investment basics

May 3, 2006
From Canoe Money:
 Smart investors know the basics of the exercise, which include asset allocation, risk tolerance and checking the financial fundamentals of a given stock or mutual fund.

But investors may not be so familiar with the basics of technical analysis - and what an important tool it is in determining the right time to buy or sell.

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University of Minyanville: Price Levels and Trends

April 17, 2006
From Minyanville:
 Prices are where supply and demand meet in financial markets. The study of historical price behavior and patterns is known as 'technical analysis.' While there are many flavors of TA, being able to identify basic chart patterns will take you a long way towards gaining insight into past, present, and perhaps even future market behavior.

Effective market participants are aware of the basic skills of technical analysis and can apply them towards making better sense of financial markets.

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Technical Analysis: The commodity channel index

April 16, 2006
From The Ticker:
 The Commodity Channel Index or CCI, was designed to identify the beginning and the end of commodity market cycles by Donald Lambert. The CCI has seen substantial growth in popularity amongst technical investors.

This handy oscillator determines the overbought and oversold areas in the price of an underlying security. It is most commonly used in the derivative markets of forex as well as futures, but can also be found used by a variety of proprietary, trend-following traders.

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Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance

February 26, 2006
From The Ticker:
 Technical analysis is a method of predicting price movements based on various chart patterns and price movements of a financial instrument. Technical analysis works largely because it is "perceived" or "understood" to work by a large number of individuals trading that example.

For this reason, some financial instruments adhere to the principles of technical analysis better than others - for example, the currency and futures markets.

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Online Investors Turn To Technical Analysis

February 22, 2006
From Best Syndication:
 Technology has not only allowed investors to trade online, but has provided them with the tools needed to analyze stocks like the pros.

In fact, technical analysis has become more popular than ever over the last several years. Traders evaluate past price movements to help forecast a security's future price.

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Of bulls and bears

January 31, 2006
From The Bangkok Post:
 Bulls and bears can be fickle creatures. Their appetite for running is unpredictable and few can estimate how ferocious they will be in turning the market. Investors can often feel they've caught the run too late, or overshot the peak and closed out too late. Debate continues as to what kind of analysis is the best to use in planning your trading strategy and no two experienced traders will agree on the same set of rules. However, a few simple guidelines can improve your timing and help you get a better handle on which way those bulls and bears are headed.

A good strategy consists of a combination of technical and fundamental analysis. In short, technical analysis is the use of stock price charts, together with various historical averages and statistical measures of a price or volume to determine ideal levels to buy and sell. Fundamental analysis involves watching broad economic indicators along with understanding the company's underlying strengths, recent performance and, most importantly, its future outlook, before buying or selling.

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Stock Trading Fundamentals – When to Buy And Sell And Which Stocks to Pick – Technical Versus Fundamental Analysis

January 30, 2006
From Best Syndication:
 Every stock market trader has their own methods for picking stocks and determining the best time to buy or sell them. There are two schools of stock analysis: Technical and Fundamental. The fundamental approach requires the examination of the stocks being considered. Look at the financial statements of the company to determine its financial strength.

You will want to find out if the company has potential for future growth and profit. Scrutinize the management team to help determine if the stock is over or under valued. Evaluate the company’s annual and quarterly earnings reports. This can help you determine the economic, political and competitive environment facing the company.

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TradeKing(TM) Adds Industry-Leading Technical Analysis Tools

January 8, 2006
From EarthTimes.org:
 Helping equity investors and options traders start the 2007 trading year off right, leading online broker TradeKing launched today a new set of fully integrated technical analysis tools. Powered by the technology of global pattern recognition leader Recognia Inc., TradeKing's new tools provide traders with a simple but powerful way to better anticipate near-term movement on equity stocks. The new technical analysis resource complements TradeKing's robust fundamental analysis capabilities and is free of charge to TradeKing members.

"TradeKing's community of traders is hungry for tools that can help fuel more opportune and prosperous trading," said Don Montanaro, CEO of TradeKing. "With these added technical analysis tools, we are helping to do a lot of the homework for traders, putting new power in their hands to seamlessly expand their trading opportunities and take both their short- and long-term investment success to a whole new level."

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HANDLE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CAREFULLY

January 4, 2006
From FMNN:
 Professional trader Dr. Alexander Elder has remarked that “technical analysis helps spot the tracks in the market made by the bulls and the bears.” TA can be very helpful in diving price movement, but it is by no means infallible, and sometimes must be set aside entirely. The wise investor will treat its use like one would that of a match... It can light the way, but it can also burn you.

Carl Swenlin, writing in a decisionpoint.com post on financialsense.com teaches: “Technical analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball. Be prepared to adjust your tactics if conditions change.”

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Technical analysis - Dr Clive Roffey

December 20, 2006
From Business Day:
 Classic Business Day gets sometimes controversial independent technical analyst Dr Clive Roffey on the line to look at the markets and what’s looking good for 2007

GIULIETTA TALEVI: Clive, on the overall JSE index for next year a lot of fund managers are being very cautious about bringing in new business because they don’t see excellent value on the JSE - would the technicals support that or are they saying something different?

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Technical analysis to predict share price movements

December 15, 2006
From The Economic Times:
 A technical analysis of securities is a study of past price and volume trends to judge the direction of future price movements of scrips. The movement of share prices follow a random pattern. Bulls and bears run the show. How long each of these phases would last, no one can say for certain. However, investors can resort to technical analysis to arrive at expected movements of stock prices.

Technical analysis assumes that prices take a random walk and one can judge the future price movements based on the past trends. It thus helps investors to take their investment decisions. However, ultimately, it is the market sentiments that determine the prices ruling on the stock floors.

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Technical analysis of stocks could make you rich, or poor

November 28, 2006
From USA Today:
 Q: What do you think of technical analysis of stocks? Will it make me rich?

A: If you've ever met someone pouring over stock charts and talking about "double-tops" or "head-and-shoulders" formations, you've met a technical analyst.

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Technical analysis: Part science and part art

November 22, 2006
From The Globe and Mail:
 Is the trend really your friend?

Anyone who follows the markets has heard the jargon, such terms as head and shoulders, support and resistance, double top or breakout. Some may even have gone so far as to try to untangle all the lines on a technical chart.

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Technicals show some steam still left

October 13, 2006
From DNA Money:
 The rally in the Sensex and more importantly the momentum behind it has taken quite a few by surprise. The index has overhauled the high recorded in May 2006 and closed at an all time high of 12,736 on Friday. A look at the technical charts indicates that the Sensex still has some steam left.

The immediate target for the index is 13,050-13,100 range and the next major target is 13,350-13,400. The support is at 12,500, which is the value of the upward sloping trendline connecting the lows at 9,875 and 11,444.

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Commodities - technicals on track

October 11, 2006
From BusinessDay:
 Technical analyst Dr Clive Roffey - the man with the crystal ball on business channel Summit TV on Wednesday nights - is on the line to Classic Business Day

LINDSAY WILLIAMS: Clive, you and I were talking a few weeks ago about the possibility of the Dow Jones falling on its head - we’ve been proven wrong in the short-term as it’s gone past that 11,750 record from January 2000. Is this the real thing, or are you slightly suspicious?

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View a Straightforward Guide to Using Technical Analysis and Obtain Excellent Advice for Successful Trading With 'Master Traders'

October 3, 2006
From Yahoo! Finance:
 Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c42994) has announced the addition of "Master Traders: Strategies for Superior Returns from Todays Top Traders" to their offering.

Master Traders provides access to top traders and their unique approaches to analyzing the markets and managing risk. The contributors, including leading hedge fund managers, technical analysts, and top traders, discuss the new and provocative methods they use to tame todays highly volatile and unpredictable markets. Approaches examined encompass advanced technical analysis, fundamental analysis, sentiment, and market structure. This groundbreaking work offers traders and investors strategies to help them gain an advantage in the world of stocks, options, and futures. From seasonal tendencies and sentiment, to volatility and risk analysis, Master Traders explores a wide range of approaches to help the reader sharpen their skills and increase their edge in the market.

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Technical Analysis: Dow Hangs On

October 2, 2006
From InternetNews.com:
 The Dow (first chart below) hung on to its narrow trading range at today's low (11,659), but weakness in the S&P and Nasdaq (second and third charts) needs to be reversed to give the blue chips another crack at their all-time high of 11,722-11,750. First-of-the-month inflows were of little help today, a sign of a lot of overhead supply here. Below 11,659, 11,630 and 11,590 are the next support levels, with 11,590 critical. The S&P (second chart) faces resistance at 1333-1337 and 1340, and support is 1329-1330, 1327, 1321 and 1316. The Nasdaq (third chart) has support at 2230 and 2222, and resistance is 2253, 2258, 2263 and 2273. Interesting to note that Gerald Appel's Nasdaq relative strength indicator (fourth chart) remains on a buy signal from early September. So much for the reversal in bond yields (fifth chart).

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The Power of Combining Macro and Technical Analysis

September 9, 2006
From SeekingAlpha:
 Technicians sometimes take pride in their distance from market gossip and the stream of economic releases. Yet nearly all of them love to hear the macroeconomic discourse turning in their favor. And likewise, every Macro Trader, however convinced of his assessment economic conditions, loves to hear of completed chart patterns endorsing his stance.

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Technical Analysis: Vishwas says more steam left in market

September 5, 2006
From MyIris.com:
 Today, the market opened on a strong note with Sensex at 11,824.49. The 30 share index performed well throughout the day. The index was marching ahead as intensified buying was seen in various sectors like auto, cement and telecom. It maintained its strength at the final hour of the close. Asian indices across-the-board closed higher today, while all European indices with the exception of Norway are currently trading higher.

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Technical Analysis an Art or Science?

August 29, 2006
From Best Syndication:
 We made our Technical Analysis lessons as simple as possible for easy understanding. There will be as much graphs and step by step guide as possible. We believe that the basic is the most important step to understanding TA - with these basics, you can move on to read some of the more advanced books in the market. But what we can say is that - you do not need to. With the basics + your own experience = You can develop your own set of proven tools. Lets start with Chapter One.

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Charting the Markets Using Technical Analysis: Required Background

August 10, 2006
From informit.com:
 When investment professionals as a group make their decisions, they often analyze such fundamental information as economics, politics, and demographics. They look back to the past to forecast what may happen in the future. This does not mean that they are consulting a magic oracle but rather, they are employing technical analysis of the markets. This discipline relies on generous amounts of historical price data that is both accurate and readily available to their computer applications.

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Why is technical analysis so popular?

August 6, 2006
From The Hindu Business Line:
 Let's face it: Technical analysts are gaining in popularity. Why so? Because technical analysis has `shown its usefulness through the bull and bear markets.' Secondly, it explains how the two opposing forces, viz. supply and demand, `interact to provide clues to the direction of stock prices.' A more important reason you may need to accept this is that the `technical' followers `learn how to buy near price bottoms and sell near tops.'

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Investing myths just won't go away

August 4, 2006
From The Toronto Star:
 This fall will mark the tenth year of the Getting Technical weekly financial column.

The Toronto Star basically took a gamble on a format based on technical analysis written by a guy with no formal writing experience. The business editor of the time asked me to write a short piece about a stock as filler while he sought to find a professional business writer to take my place. That hasn't happened, yet.

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Tech Tools

July 23, 2006
From The Hindu Business Line:
 I am pursuing technical analysis but I am very confused about the tools that are used in technical analysis. Can you please tell me which technical tools are there with which I can learn to understand the know-how of technical analysis. Please also tell me the way by which I can master these skills. Sameer Grover

The basic tools of technical analysis with which a student can start learning are trend lines, moving averages and oscillators. The trend is the corner stone of technical analysis.

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Investing Systems: "Trading Signals Based On Technical Analysis Help Traders Prosper In Uncertain Market"

July 21, 2006
From BusinessWire:
 Investing Systems announced today the latest additions to the Stock Signal Pro technical trading software.

"The recent market volatility has left many traders sitting on the sidelines," said William McKinley, President of Investing Systems. "Technical trading signals can really help people that get nervous about whether or not to be long or short the market."

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Technical Analysis of Safeway: Current Resistance Level Should Become Future Support Level (SWY)

July 7, 2006
From SeekingAlpha:
 Now is the time to take a look at Safeway (SWY), because it has risen toward the upper resistance of a long-term inverse head and shoulders pattern.

As you can see from the chart below, the $26 resistance has prevented a move higher on six separate occasions. Investors should watch carefully to see if this story will change. Also watch closely for a move above the neckline ($26).

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Technical Analysis Suggests Bearish Short Term Outlook Aussie Equities

June 9, 2006
From FN Arena:
 The local S&P/ASX200 share index yesterday fell through its 30-week moving average and unless the remaining trading hour of the week initiates some strong buying (unlikely) the index should be regarded as in breach of its long term support, technical chartists say. This is not seen as a positive sign.

Current support, which is likely to act as a barrier from hereon, is believed to be at or around 4940. The index is currently at 4921.3, up 14.1 points from yesterday's close.

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Fear and Technical Analysis on Wall Street

June 5, 2006
From TheStreet.com:
 The world was lined up for continued fabulous earnings going into the top in May. Well, they don't ring a dinner bell when it's time to leave the trough, or do they? . Our Boomerang Sell Signal issued after the false breakout on May 11 did a good job of identifying the top -- it was a good sell setup.

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Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits Was Originally Devised as a Practical Course for Investors, Today It is as Alive, Vital and Instructional as Back Then

May 26, 2006
From TMC Net:
 Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c37727) has announced the addition of Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits to their offering.

Richard W. Schabacker's great work, Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits, is a worthy addition to any technical analyst's personal library or any market library. His "pioneering research" represents one of the finest works ever produced on technical analysis, and this book remains an example of the highest order of analytical quality and incisive trading wisdom.

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Technical Analysis: AMAT, QCOM, TGT, BOL

May 15, 2006
From Stock Trader's Daily:
 The stocks in this article are likely to move aggressively in the near future. Therefore, Stock Traders Daily has prepared Trading Reports based on strict Technical Analysis so that Traders and Investors know how to approach trades in these stocks going forward.

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Understanding technical analysis

May 15, 2006
From Money Web:
 There are essentially two approaches to analysing the financial and stock markets. One is the fundamental approach and the other is the technical and cycle approach.

“The technical approach to investment is essentially a reflection of the idea that prices move in trends and the art of technical analysis is to identify trend changes at an early stage and to maintain an investment posture until the weight of the evidence indicates that the trend has reversed.”

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Technical Analysis: DISH, AIG, JDSU, AMCC

May 11, 2006
From Stock Traders Daily:
 The stocks in this article are likely to move aggressively in the near future. Therefore, Stock Traders Daily has prepared Trading Reports based on strict Technical Analysis so that Traders and Investors know how to approach trades in these stocks going forward.

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The Difference Between Price and Value

May 8, 2006
From Morningstar:
 When I tell people that I'm an equity analyst, I'm often presented with a rather bizarre question: "So, what actually makes stocks go up and down?" I usually fight the urge to rattle off some sort of sunspot-and-Fibonacci-sequence conspiracy theory and tell them the mundane truth: The stock market, literally, is an auction in which people around the world bid for fractional ownership of companies. We think one of the biggest, if not the biggest, mistake in investing is confusing the price of stocks with the value of the businesses they represent.

I've created a highly scientific indicator known as the "nag factor," which can explain the decoupling of price and intrinsic value in all types of markets. A couple of years ago, Tickle-Me-Elmos, which usually sell for $20-$30, were bid up at Christmas time to hundreds of dollars in auctions on eBay EBAY. (Incidentally, we think beaten-up shares of eBay, a member of our Hare Portfolio, are undervalued.)

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Technical analysis: predicting the unpredictable

April 18, 2006
From Reuters UK:
 When it comes to buying or selling stocks, bonds and commodities like crude oil, many traders eye economic data and monitor political events.

Others watch the price charts, looking at particular patterns for clues on how to play the market on any given day. But these chartists might just as well gaze at the stars to predict the next move, their critics say.

Still, while big Wall Street investment firms have been reducing or eliminating their technical research departments for years, plenty of independent shops peddle this method of trading based on studying chart patterns rather than crunching micro- and macroeconomic numbers.

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Technical Analysis: Too Much of a Good Thing?

April 18, 2006
From internetnews.com:
 Mae West may have said that too much of a good thing can be wonderful, but that's not always the case with the stock market. Take today's 90% upside day (volume and price action) on the NYSE. Paul Desmond of Lowry's Reports, who pioneered the study of such buying and selling climaxes, said odds are about 75% that an isolated 90% upside day — not preceded by panic selling — can mark exhaustion or a blow-off top.

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Technical Analysis Voodoo

April 18, 2006
From The Motley Fool:
 "Beware of technical analysis, my son! The jaws that bite, the claws that catch!" Had Lewis Carroll been an investing aficionado instead of a literary genius, he might have cautioned about technical analysis in investing, instead of about the Jabberwock and the Jubjub bird. He didn't, though, so permit me.

Technical analysis is often contrasted with fundamental analysis. Technical analysis dwells on charts of stock price movements and trading volume. Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the value of companies, studying such things as a firm's business, earnings, and competition. While investors from the fundamental school want to understand a business from the inside out, technicians mostly remain on the outside, observing how the stock behaves in the market.

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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & INVESTING

April 12, 2006
From Free-Market News Network:
 In investing as in life, the greatest truths are often simple. Though derided by many, technical analysis can bring clarity to the seemingly random movement of a stock’s price. TA is tool in the investor’s bag of tricks.

Simple tools like a straight ruler, parallels, and French Curves can provide clues for the technician to follow. Alexander Elder, in his book, "Come into My Trading Room," calls past prices “Tracks left behind by the bulls and bears.”

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forecasting is Based on two schools of thought

March 14, 2006
From Cybernoon.com:
 A few years ago, stocks market trading was characterised by floor based trading and a physical delivery mode of settlement. Under this environment, volumes were low, and delivery-based transactions were the order of the day while the concept of day trading was not in vogue. However, subsequently, with the advent of screen-based trading, a dematerialised and a rolling settlement environment, day trading has gained acceptance. With the popularity of day trading, the concept of technical analysis has come to the fore. Most traders now rely heavily on charts to help them in their day trading operations. In the short run, they tend to ignore fundamentals. Their view is that the timing of the markets lies in the charts. From reading the technical indicators, one does not have to really look elsewhere for this answer, not from rumours, tips, the news media, or even from the 'horses mouth'. For what is to come in terms of price distortion will invariably, inexorably and surely be reflected in price action.

Forecasting methodology can be broadly classified into two schools of thought:
1. The Fundamental School and
2. The Technical School

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Online Trading Academy to conduct its first Online Stock Trading Course

March 13, 2006
From AME Info:
 The event to be held from March 13.

Run by professional US stock trader and teacher Adam E. Kaye, CLU, ChFC, MBA, the 10-day course, which is divided into Part 1 and Part 2, is designed for active traders and short term investors in the UAE and Global Stock Markets. The course was created and modified during several months by several US professional stock traders, led by Adam E. Kaye. The course is open for general public and employees of financial institutions such as banks, investment houses, and brokerage services. OTA certificates will be given upon successful completion of the course to the attendees.

The students will learn how to trade with discipline, a concise plan, utilizing risk management techniques based on sound technical analysis that the Wall Street Pro's use.

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Technical analysis studies stock prices

February 10, 2006
From dailyrecord.com:
 There are more ways to make money in the stock market than you can shake a stick at.

You can look for earnings surprises on the upside. Or solid fundamentals (low price-earnings ratios, low price-book ratios, etc.). Or stocks on a tear. Or stocks that much-admired investors have been buying. Or stocks that have been regularly raising their dividends. Or blue-chip stocks whose prices have fallen because of clearly temporary troubles. And so forth. (OK, some of these strategies are not mutually exclusive.)

I'm sure that you will agree that the very best way to make money in stocks is to trade on important inside information.

"Technical analysis" is another popular strategy, often pitted against fundamental investing.

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The Logic Behind Technical Analysis

February 4, 2006
From DailyIndia.com:
 Let me first say that I do not now engage in technical analysis; nor, have I ever engaged in technical analysis. I do not believe doing so would be a productive use of my time.

Having said that, I do not claim technical analysis has no predictive value. In fact, I suspect it does have some predictive value. The Efficient Market Hypothesis is flawed. It is based upon the (unwritten) premise that data determines market prices. As Graham so clearly put it in “Security Analysis”:

“…the influence of what we call analytical factors over the market price is both partial and indirect – partial, because it frequently competes with purely speculative factors which influence the price in the opposite direction; and indirect, because it acts through the intermediary of people’s sentiments and decisions. In other words, the market is not a weighing machine, on which the value of each issue is recorded by an exact and impersonal mechanism, in accordance with its specific qualities. Rather should we say that the market is a voting machine, whereon countless individuals register choices which are the product partly of reason and partly of emotion.”

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HotSignals.com to be Featured on World Business Review for Innovative Financial Trading Technologies

February 1, 2006
From PR Web:
 Hotsignals.com Inc is to feature in a forthcoming financial series of World Business Review as hosted by Alexander Haig with industry expert Al Berkeley (Former President of Nasdaq).

The new series concentrates on new technologies within the financial markets. How these are changing traditional views on investing from an institutional and private investors point of view. Hotsignals feature will include aspects which differentiate the company from existing technical analysis providers along with how new technology is solving investing decisions in the financial markets.

Neil Smith, Managing Director and Vice President of Sales & Business Strategy goes on to say 'We are very honoured to be invited to participate in the forthcoming World Business Review financial series. I believe our technology to be unique, yet at the same time simple to use. The series and our contribution firmly strengthens our reputation as market leader in technical analysis and automated financial trading solutions.'

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EUR/USD - Technical Analysis Report w/e Jan 27th 2006

January 29, 2006
From Forex TV:
 Trend
1st TF (i.e. Bar to bar) – up.
2nd TF (i.e Highs and lows of swings) – up.
3rd TF (i.e. Peaks and troughs of 2nd TF) – down.

Trend Lines
Steeper down TLs and TCs (Trend Channels) were drawn some weeks ago indicating that the trend began to accelerate to the downside. The two TCs gave us some potential downside targets. Significantly, the steepest TL was breached some weeks ago. This served as a warning that the down trend was beginning to decelerate and that the down trend may be in danger.

Four weeks ago the shallower TL was breached and was accompanied by a change of the 2nd TF trend from down to UP. It is not common for a breach of a TL to occur concurrently with a change of trend. Traders should always view a TL breach as trend deceleration and as a warning of a possible forthcoming change of trend. The least risk averse should act only on a change of trend and not a TL break.

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Technical Analysis: SNDK, AFFX, ELX, BRCM

January 27, 2006
From Stock Traders Daily:
 Trend Analysis and Technical Indicators are the keys to successful trading. Any other tools pale in comparison to these. These are the tools that tell us where the Market is headed. These are the same tools that tell us how to trade the following stocks even after earnings:

Sandisk (SNDK) Report reported solid results, everyone was expecting that, but no one expected the downside guidance. Has the SNDK ship begun to sink? Flash has been in high demand, we know, but the demand may have reached a peak. Traders should beware. Review our technical analysis of SNDK to understand how to react to this news. Access our trading report now by signing up for a FREE TRIAL, or by clicking here to obtain the SNDK report in PDF format: Trading Report for SNDK.

Affimetrix (AFFX) Report beat the street but issued weak forward guidance and the stock is trading down by more than $4. Traders should be cautious, but they should also understand that the increased volatility from this news creates trading opportunities. Find out what those opportunities are by reviewing our trading report. Access our trading report now by signing up for a FREE TRIAL, or by clicking here to obtain the AFFX report in PDF format: Trading Report for AFFX.

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Technical Analysis: DIS, NFLX, BSX, IMCL

January 25, 2006
From Stock Traders Daily:
 Trend Analysis and Technical Indicators are the keys to successfully trading the Markets. Any other tools pale in comparison to these. These are the tools that told us that the Markets would pull back. These are the same tools that tell us how to trade the following stocks:

Disney (DIS) Report has agreed to buy Pixar (PIXR). In our opinion this is a must-do, but indeed the deal was expensive. The stock is trading sideways o the news, but is it a good time to buy the stock? Our analysis will tell you how to trade DIS from here in light of the recent events. We have provided a detailed technical analysis of DIS so that you understand how to use the tools mentioned above. Access our trading report now by signing up for a FREE TRIAL, or by clicking here to obtain the DIS report in PDF format: Trading Report for DIS.

Netflix (NFLX) Report is surging on better than expected earnings news. Does this sound like dejavu? Indeed this happened before, the question is, will the stock continue to perform like it did last time too? As noted above, the technical indicators for NFLX will tell you exactly how to trade the stock given the recent surge. We have evaluated the stock and we have offered a detailed technical report for NFLX so that you understand how to trade the stock in light of this reaction. Should you take profits or buy more? Or analysis will tell you. Access our trading report now by signing up for a FREE TRIAL, or by clicking here to obtain the NFLX report in PDF format: Trading Report for NFLX.

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TECHNICAL ANALYSTS GOLD CHANGE?

January 25, 2006
From FMNN:
 Technical analysis is a method whereby investment tacticians attempt to divine future prices based upon their action in the past. All sorts of indicators are used, from volume and money flow analysis to looking at arcane chart patterns. Many feel this is just mumbo jumbo with little predictive power, but others pay good money to get the opinions of the chartists.

Lately, the TA crowd has been scrutinized as they've tried to pick a top in gold all the way from under $300 to the present price peaks of well above $500/ounce. Maybe the signals they’re getting aren’t what’s actually going on. Could some of the rules be changing?

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Investing Alchemy

January 24, 2006
From The Motley Fool:
 Admittedly, more work goes into technical analysis than looking at last year's winners. But the fact remains that investors could not have foreseen these events from a chart alone. No matter what the final results of our simplified experiment may have been, this is a risky way to invest your hard-earned dollars.

Technical analysis is certainly appealing, but it's not for me. I don't have a Ph.D. in mathematics, and I'm not yet sold on the merits of so-called investing alchemy. I prefer to follow master investors like Warren Buffett by learning about a great company, buying it at a good price, and holding it for the foreseeable future. I find it to be a more rewarding experience (and more lucrative) than sweating past trends.

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National Bank of Dubai launches real time online technical analysis service

January 15, 2006
From AME Info:
 Provided by the bank's treasury department, this premium service will be offered to NBD Treasury clients through the bank's website www.nbd.com. NBD is the first bank on the Middle East to offer this product.

This advanced treasury service will enable clients to access real time charts as well as undertake their own technical analysis on major currencies, crude oil and gold. The website will feature charting tools and technical analytics such as Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Relative Strength Index and others. Customers will be enabled to access NBD proprietary research and analysis, as well as set up their own charts and analysis to enable them to monitor their orders and form their own views.

NBD Treasury's FX Trading team was voted 'Best Treasury in Foreign Exchange in the UAE' for two consecutive years by Global Finance Magazine, is committed to sharing its knowledge and expertise in trading with its key customers.

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Technical Analysis: S&P Tries Again

January 3, 2006
From Internet News:
 Quite a turnaround for stocks today, with the S&P (first chart below) once again nearing its two-year resistance line at 1280-1285. Can the index clear it this time? We'd note one negative here — bulls in the Investors Intelligence survey last week reached 60%, a level that has occurred near intermediate-term tops over the last couple of years. Also, the major indexes recently registered DeMark Sequential sell signals, similar to the buy signals that worked so well in late April. Between resistance and sentiment, the S&P could face tough going beyond the next 1% or so. To the downside, 1246-1250 is critical support. The Nasdaq (second chart) is back above its two-year resistance line at 2240, but faces a five-week downtrend line just above today's high of 2250. Support is 2240, 2230, 2220 and 2190-2200. The Dow (third chart) faces difficult resistance between 10,920 and 11,000, and support is 10,800 and 10,684-10,720. Long bonds (fourth chart) continue to be supportive here; no complaints there.

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HEDGE FUND RISK AND OTHER DISCLOSURES
Hedge funds, including fund of funds (“Hedge Funds”), are unregistered private investment partnerships, funds or pools that may invest and trade in many different markets, strategies and instruments (including securities, non-securities and derivatives) and are NOT subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds, including mutual fund requirements to provide certain periodic and standardized pricing and valuation information to investors. There are substantial risks in investing in Hedge Funds. Persons interested in investing in Hedge Funds should carefully note the following:
  • Hedge Funds represent speculative investments and involve a high degree of risk. An investor could lose all or a substantial portion of his/her investment. Investors must have the financial ability, sophistication/experience and willingness to bear the risks of an investment in a Hedge Fund.
  • An investment in a Hedge Fund should be discretionary capital set aside strictly for speculative purposes.
  • An investment in a Hedge Fund is not suitable or desirable for all investors. Only qualified eligible investors may invest in Hedge Funds.
  • Hedge Fund offering documents are not reviewed or approved by federal or state regulators
  • Hedge Funds may be leveraged (including highly leveraged) and a Hedge Fund’s performance may be volatile
  • An investment in a Hedge Fund may be illiquid and there may be significant restrictions on transferring interests in a Hedge Fund. There is no secondary market for an investor’s investment in a Hedge Fund and none is expected to develop.
  • A Hedge Fund may have little or no operating history or performance and may use hypothetical or pro forma performance which may not reflect actual trading done by the manager or advisor and should be reviewed carefully. Investors should not place undue reliance on hypothetical or pro forma performance.
  • A Hedge Fund’s manager or advisor has total trading authority over the Hedge Fund.
  • A Hedge Fund may use a single advisor or employ a single strategy, which could mean a lack of diversification and higher risk.
  • A Hedge Fund (for example, a fund of funds) and its managers or advisors may rely on the trading expertise and experience of third-party managers or advisors, the identity of which may not be disclosed to investors
  • A Hedge Fund may involve a complex tax structure, which should be reviewed carefully.
  • A Hedge Fund may involve structures or strategies that may cause delays in important tax information being sent to investors.
  • A Hedge Fund may provide no transparency regarding its underlying investments (including sub-funds in a fund of funds structure) to investors. If this is the case, there will be no way for an investor to monitor the specific investments made by the Hedge Fund or, in a fund of funds structure, to know whether the sub-fund investments are consistent with the Hedge Fund’s investment strategy or risk levels.
  • A Hedge Fund may execute a substantial portion of trades on foreign exchanges or over-the-counter markets, which could mean higher risk.
  • A Hedge Fund’s fees and expenses-which may be substantial regardless of any positive return- will offset the Hedge Fund’s trading profits. In a fund of funds or similar structure, fees are generally charged at the fund as well as the sub-fund levels; therefore fees charged investors will be higher that those charged if the investor invested directly in the sub-fund(s).
  • Hedge Funds are not required to provide periodic pricing or valuation information to investors.
  • Hedge Funds and their managers/advisors may be subject to various conflicts of interest.
The above general summary is not a complete list of the risks and other important disclosures involved in investing in Hedge Funds and, with respect to any particular Hedge Fund, is subject to the more complete and specific disclosures contained in such Hedge Fund’s respective offering documents. Before making any investment, an investor should thoroughly review a Hedge Fund’s offering documents with the investor’s financial, legal and tax advisor to determine whether an investment in the Hedge Fund is suitable for the investor in light of the investor’s investment objectives, financial circumstances and tax situation.

All performance information is believed to be net of applicable fees unless otherwise specifically noted. No representation is made that any fund will or is likely to achieve its objectives or that any investor will or is likely to achieve results comparable to those shown or will make any profit at all or will be able to avoid incurring substantial losses. Past performance is not necessarily indicative, and is no guarantee, of future results.

The information on the Site is intended for informational, educational and research purposes only. Nothing on this Site is intended to be, nor should it be construed or used as, financial, legal, tax or investment advice, be an opinion of the appropriateness or suitability of an investment, or intended to be an offer, or the solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell any security or an endorsement or inducement to invest with any fund or fund manager. No such offer or solicitation may be made prior to the delivery of appropriate offering documents to qualified investors. Before making any investment, you should thoroughly review the particular fund’s confidential offering documents with your financial, legal and tax advisor and conduct such due diligence as you (and they) deem appropriate. We do not provide investment advice and no information or material on the Site is to be relied upon for the purpose of making investment or other decisions. Accordingly, we assume no responsibility or liability for a ny investment decisions or advice, treatment, or services rendered by any investor or any person or entity mentioned, featured on or linked to the Site.

The information on this Site is as of the date(s) indicated, is not a complete description of any fund, and is subject to the more complete disclosures and terms and conditions contained in a particular fund's offering documents, which may be obtained directly from the fund. Certain of the information, including investment returns, valuations, fund targets and strategies, has been supplied by the funds or their agents, and other third parties, and although believed to be reliable, has not been independently verified and its completeness and accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No warranty, express or implied, representation or guarantee is made as to the accuracy, validity, timeliness, completeness or suitability of this information.

Any indices and other financial benchmarks shown are provided for illustrative purposes only, are unmanaged, reflect reinvestment of income and dividends and do not reflect the impact of advisory fees. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Comparisons to indexes have limitations because indexes have volatility and other material characteristics that may differ from a particular hedge fund. For example, a hedge fund may typically hold substantially fewer securities than are contained in an index. Indices also may contain securities or types of securities that are not comparable to those traded by a hedge fund. Therefore, a hedge fund’s performance may differ substantially from the performance of an index. Because of these differences, indexes should not be relied upon as an accurate measure of comparison.




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